Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 8.037992 9.054343 10.263785 11.844693 13.915654 16.632909 20.660546
2024-12-15 7.623193 9.150554 11.210820 14.380354 19.580215 28.990145 52.702954
2024-12-22 6.691620 8.363263 10.815461 15.078276 23.609180 45.944775 220.867451
2024-12-29 6.286813 8.216165 11.335423 17.686158 35.039533 150.838915 NaN
2025-01-05 5.838841 7.915428 11.565908 20.231635 55.391196 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 5.243274 7.261763 10.994819 20.815720 77.538761 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 4.694053 6.592547 10.224836 20.509875 103.143145 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 4.565515 6.639976 10.973387 26.148218 1549.383625 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 4.612904 7.034995 12.780413 42.402936 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 4.461892 7.012771 13.607466 61.842196 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 4.257642 6.838651 13.959491 87.737045 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 4.028169 6.566281 13.896722 118.490939 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 3.748285 6.182148 13.479049 159.740075 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 3.575906 6.021405 13.871521 467.261439 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 3.258239 5.459809 12.412401 296.709815 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 3.090289 5.240885 12.313376 914.600236 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 2.918159 4.984804 11.952555 14725.458422 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.706001 4.601241 10.890459 1329.287857 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.506129 4.229882 9.806939 406.357302 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.444400 4.195554 10.199272 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.443617 4.317196 11.453870 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.380625 4.264999 11.838298 NaN NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.301460 4.156851 11.857703 NaN NaN NaN NaN